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US-China

The geopolitical landscape in the Indo-Pacific region is shaped by strategic moves aimed at containing China’s influence. Key players, including the United States, Russia, China, North Korea, India, Australia, South Korea, Philippines, and Japan, are actively engaged in this delicate balance. Here are the critical points:

Taiwan as a Proxy:

  • The United States strategically positions Taiwan as a proxy in its ongoing conflict with China. Taiwan’s proximity to mainland China makes it a crucial pawn in this high-stakes game.
  • By supporting Taiwan, the US aims to counterbalance China’s military and economic dominance in the region.

The Quad Alliance:

  • Formed in 2007, the Quad alliance comprises India, Australia, the US, and Japan.
  • While the Quad’s primary goal is to deter China, each member leverages its position for its own strategic interests.
  • India, in particular, seeks military and economic benefits while contributing to the collective shield against China.

Australia’s Defense Strategy:

  • Australia’s 2024 National Defence Strategy outlines a substantial increase in defense spending.
  • The $330 billion investment aims to enhance strategic capabilities, including nuclear submarines, long-range strike capabilities, cyber warfare, and space operations.
  • However, the allocated 2.4% of GDP for defense expenditure may struggle to keep pace with inflation.
  • The AUKUS nuclear submarine pact adds complexity to Australia’s defense budget, and recruiting challenges persist.

NATO’s Asia-Pacific Efforts:

  • NATO planned to open a liaison office in Tokyo, Japan, as part of its efforts to deepen cooperation in the Asia-Pacific.
  • China opposed this move, leading to the shelving of the proposal.
  • Notably, the joint communique did not mention Taiwan, despite its significance as a security concern for Japan and South Korea.

Strategic Pivot in the Philippines:

  • Bongbong Marcos Jr.’s presidency, facilitated by an alliance with Duterte’s daughter, marked a departure from previous policies. Contrary to expectations, Marcos authorized the establishment of four significant US military bases in the Philippines.
  • This move reflects a strategic pivot toward closer ties with the US, potentially impacting regional dynamics and China’s influence in the South China Sea.

In summary, the US aims to outcompete China by investing in critical infrastructure, bolstering supply chain security, and ensuring the military readiness with allies.