Analysis

US-Russia

The ongoing conflict between the United States and Russia has entered a critical phase, marked by covert strategies and geopolitical maneuvers. Here’s an analysis of key developments:

What’s going on?

  • The US has a hidden strategy in the proxy war with Russia in Ukraine: to escalate tensions between the European Union (EU) and Russia.
  • Since early 2024, the US has capitalized on the drama surrounding the Republican rejection of Ukraine’s aid budget proposed by President Biden.
  • Leveraging this situation, the US has rallied the UK and the EU as key supporters for Ukraine

Why is it happening now?

  • The timing is crucial due to the heightened geopolitical stakes in the region.
  • The US aims to strengthen its position vis-à-vis Russia by securing EU support for Ukraine.
  • Escalating tensions serve both as a deterrent to Russian aggression and as a means to assert US influence.

What is the impact so far?

  • The EU’s alignment with Ukraine has intensified, leading to increased diplomatic pressure on Russia.
  • Moscow, in response, has strengthened its relations with Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger.
  • These countries view Russia as an alternative to Western dominance and seek to overcome neocolonial dependency.
  • Collectively known as the Sahel Alliance, they have presented their alliance to the international community.

What are the Implications?

  • The conflict extends beyond direct military confrontations; it involves intricate diplomatic moves and alliances.
  • Russia’s covert intelligence operation in the Middle East, drawing from its Cold War experience, adds complexity.
  • Amid pressure from the US and its allies, Russia’s strategic understanding of Israel’s vulnerabilities has allowed it to trigger upheaval in the region.
  • The impact on US interests and regional stability remains a critical concern.

Outlook

  • The conflict will continue to evolve, with both sides seeking to secure their interests.
  • Diplomatic maneuvering, covert operations, and alliances will shape the outcome.
  • The delicate balance between escalation and avoiding a broader conflict remains a challenge for all parties involved.